Imagine that as you are boarding an airplane, half the engineers who built it tell you there is a 10 percent chance the plane will crash, killing you and everyone else on it. Would you still board?
That is basically the outcome of a survey that was run in 2022 and requested 4271 machine-learning researchers about “high-level machine intelligence” and the risks that come with it.
Over 700 of them responded. 48% of respondents gave at least 10% chance of an extremely bad outcome.